BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 3A Class Rank: 61 Conference: (0-17) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   45.72

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W    51.80  61   44   1A  101 ( 3-19) Armstrong-Ringsted      5.46     11.54                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    L    38.96  33   45   1A   55 (12-10) North Iowa             -7.38     -4.62                      
  3 12/12/2003 Away    L *  45.60  41   69   3A    9 (16- 9) Spencer                -0.74 *  -27.26                      
  4 12/19/2003 Home    L *  39.54  47   75   3A   16 (13- 9) LeMars                 -6.80    -21.20                      
  5 12/20/2003 Home    W    60.51  58   53   3A   45 (13-10) Forest City            14.16     -9.16                      
  6 01/03/2004 Away    L *  39.37  40   65   2A   36 (12-11) Emmetsburg             -6.97    -18.03  rescheduled from 12/16/03
  7 01/09/2004 Away    L *  42.71  47   66   3A   43 ( 9-14) Spirit Lake            -3.64    -15.36                      
  8 01/12/2004 Away    L *  55.63  53   69   2A   18 (16- 9) Sheldon                 9.29    -25.29                      
  9 01/16/2004 Away    L *  47.45  41   60   2A   30 ( 9-13) Cherokee Washington     1.10    -20.10                      
 10 01/20/2004 Home    L *  53.54  50   64   2A   20 (13-10) Western Christian       7.20    -21.20                      
 11 01/23/2004 Home    L *  56.71  36   47   2A   18 (16- 9) Sheldon                10.37    -21.37                      
 12 01/27/2004 Away    L *  48.59  49   65   3A   31 (11-11) Storm Lake              2.24    -18.24                      
 13 01/30/2004 Home    L *  38.68  47   78   3A    9 (16- 9) Spencer                -7.66    -23.34                      
 14 02/03/2004 Home    L *  38.45  40   62   2A   36 (12-11) Emmetsburg             -7.89    -14.11                      
 15 02/07/2004 Away    L *  64.46  58   65   3A   16 (13- 9) LeMars                 18.12    -25.12  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 16 02/13/2004 Home    L *  30.78  32   59   3A   43 ( 9-14) Spirit Lake           -15.56    -11.44                      
 17 02/14/2004 Home    L    47.18  54   64   2A   52 (19- 5) Lake Mills              0.84    -10.84                      
 18 02/17/2004 Home    L *  33.53  33   62   2A   30 ( 9-13) Cherokee Washington   -12.82    -16.18                      
 19 02/20/2004 Away    L *  32.46  52   91   2A   20 (13-10) Western Christian     -13.88    -25.12                      
 20 02/24/2004 Away    L    46.35  71   79   EX   48 ( 1- 0) Jackson County Centr    0.00     -8.00                      
 21 02/27/2004 Home    L *  47.67  51   64   3A   31 (11-11) Storm Lake              1.32    -14.32                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L *  59.60  51   65   3A    9 (16- 9) Spencer                13.26 *  -27.26                      
      Averages              46.35  47.5 64.1

Best game:   64.46 = 7 point loss to LeMars
Worst game:  30.78 = 27 point loss to Spirit Lake
Team stdev:   9.44